Modern organizations are obsessed with measurement. Pop into virtually any executive meeting, and you’re likely to find glowing dashboards, reports, infographics, charts, and scorecards packed with performance metrics.
Revenue growth, customer satisfaction, engagement, productivity, utilization, retention, cycle time: if it can be quantified, it’s probably being tracked.
This is the Official Market, or what organizations buy and sell in an attempt to take the inherent complexity of business and turn it into something understandable: reports, scorecards, dashboards, intelligence platforms, and Balanced Scorecards.
Business needs complexity to transform into something manageable. Leadership must see into what happens everywhere in the organization, and metrics give teams a common language to express how they perform. Formal metrics are the right tool for holding employees accountable and for allowing leaders to assess the performance of individuals or teams against others over time.
Yet the potential harms of overreliance on formal measurement systems aren’t merely abstract or as far-fetched as many make them out to be.
Natlia Cuguer-Escofet, a researcher at the University of Pompeu Fabra, and Josep M. Rosanas at Universitat de Barcelona analyzed a set of cases in which performance management systems, when implemented rigidly, led to unintended outcomes, including cases from Spanish banks in the period leading up to the 2008 crisis.
In one such instance, a manager who was resistant to escalating loan-making practices was moved out of a position where loan decisions could be made, despite being given a promotion (in the form of an increased salary and improved office space).
In another instance, a board member who was hesitant about an asset’s value was reluctant to express his reservations because the organization’s incentive systems largely tied everyone’s performance to profit. The performance systems were working as they were designed to, but their output was discouraging decision-makers from making professional decisions when they were most needed.
The takeaway from these scenarios isn’t that measurement is itself flawed; it’s that every organization’s performance system will eventually hit a ceiling where it can’t foresee every contingency. When they become overly committed to using objective indicators, organizations risk inhibiting the human intelligence that might warn them of a problem before it shows up in the results.
The crux of the problem isn’t so much a reliance on measuring performance; it’s the assumption that measurable equals significant.
Organizations are often obsessed with measuring metrics, even though those same metrics sometimes do not truly matter to an organization’s success. These metrics aren’t designed to provide a clear picture of why something is or isn’t working; rather, they simply demonstrate what is going on.
They aren’t about showing how frustrated customers are; instead, they show that the satisfaction level has fallen. They aren’t about the employee turnover going up but about what has led to employee discontentment over time. An organization’s ability to identify the causes of declining numbers is critically important, yet metrics cannot illustrate the complexities driving performance from the bottom up.
This weakness is exacerbated, in many cases, by the fact that metrics are, by their very nature, selective. Each KPI necessarily prioritizes some aspects of performance while overlooking others. Organizations use metrics to measure performance based on what they perceive as critical, yet the business environment and consumer expectations require new perspectives. The KPIs organizations rely on may therefore cease to align with the reality on the ground.
It is simply a matter of fact that metrics are better indicators than drivers. When the system measures certain behaviours and outcomes, employees quickly adapt by doing what the system wants them to do. When employees are measured on customer service call time, for example, they learn to hang up with customers as quickly as possible rather than solve their problem. Metrics lead us to manipulate an organization’s output through what we measure, even if what we measure isn’t indicative of success.
“The problem isn’t a measurement one; it’s a knowledge one. You can know the velocity; you just don’t know where you’re headed, and therefore you just don’t know what to do, which makes managing impossible.” – Jeff Bezos
This system of performance relies upon measurement for decision and action-taking but neglects the human aspect; instead, it relies on information that is already visible or reportable. The challenge is that all of this is usually evident on a dashboard if it is tracked or measured.
With that said, not all aspects of the performance in the workplace are quantifiable:
Trust is hard to measure
Honesty cannot be quantified
Creativity or foresight doesn’t have to be demonstrated on a chart
These are not all reflected in The Official Market, as every metric, KPI, report or business scorecard makes choices about what’s relevant and what isn’t.
Sadly, by focusing solely on what we can readily identify as critical and important, many organizations inadvertently start to devalue or even ignore areas they cannot easily quantify. That, it has been said, means the information in their reporting systems may be missing valuable pieces or even be flat-out misleading.
One example is a business intelligence system that tells people how busy employees were in the office (measured by time spent at the desk, use of specific tools, etc.) but does not measure the outcomes of that work. This system has become completely removed from the actual outcomes that would determine whether employees were actually working effectively or not.
In such instances, organizations become overly dependent on such formally measured criteria and risk suppressing human judgment or observation that would otherwise point them toward a problem early on.
The Black Market
There’s one in every organization.
It might not show up in your year-end results. It might not be mentioned in a quarterly review. It definitely will not be in your executive dashboard, but nearly everyone in the company knows it.
This is the KPI Black Market; this is where you would go when your formal measures do not tell the same story. The name is controversial, but it should not be when people search for additional data to navigate a complex business. If an organization goes to great lengths, many beneficial ideas may fall outside measurement standards.
The Conversations That Never Make the Dashboard
Companies have invested significant resources over the past few years in business intelligence tools that afford a live view of operations. However, much of an organization’s most useful intelligence still travels via conversation.
A sales leader hears multiple account managers mention the same customer pain point.
A product leader notices an increase in “what is that for?” type questions about a new feature.
A team lead finds conversation in their team’s hushed post-all-hands meeting.
A customer success manager starts hearing unusually similar wording in otherwise unrelated client calls, hinting at a shared frustration that hasn’t been logged anywhere yet.
A regional manager notices that high performers are suddenly asking more “confirmation” questions instead of making autonomous decisions.
A project lead observes that status updates remain technically positive, but the tone of delivery shifts: shorter messages, fewer details, less narrative confidence.
An HR partner hears recurring “soft exits” in development conversations – people talking more about uncertainty, optionality, or “keeping an eye on things” rather than commitment.
Those aren’t standard metrics, but they often show trouble before it hits the Profit & Loss (P&L).
That’s partly why leaders place so much importance on informal conversation – it’s where emerging signals like doubt, disappointment, enthusiasm, and apprehension get aired while they’re still in their most formative (and useful) stage.
Once a signal is a metric, it’s already past the critical inflection point. That is due to the fact that dashboards chronicle what happened, while conversations signal what’s about to happen.
We write down and archive at an unforeseen speed, yet much of our knowledge is often contained…elsewhere. That knowledge often moves through the Black Market, with almost blinding celerity.
The Mental Dashboard
Try asking an experienced sales leader what will make the quarter miss your target. They often start with “I have a feeling.” It’s the kind of thing a data scientist will probably break out maniacally in a feverish rash at the sound of it.
How can they predict they might miss when the company invests millions in data and analytics to give you objectivity?!
However, the data science in judgment and forecasting actually supports this kind of intuitive forecasting: experts use intuition often not at random but rather to detect patterns that may not show up explicitly and may even be unable to be easily and systematically articulated, due to experience (e.g., having interacted with customers, products, markets, negotiations, and company stakeholders), which can be more sensitive to some cues than others.
You might experience it as a feeling or a sense:
A salesperson feeling the heat because customer engagement seems “off” but has not yet been captured by metrics.
A regional manager in your organization who believes they sense unusual nervousness in the sales reps during customer interactions.
Customer success may note that the typical post-demo and pilot behaviour among clients has changed slightly, but it is not yet affecting metrics such as engagement and churn. In these kinds of instances, they are not officially being recognized by your data platform.
Yet these sorts of signals often influence forecast judgments, however indirectly. Leaders, in essence, operate with two dashboards: one that they see on their screen and another that resides in their head.
One is evidence of what is happening. The other is the interpretation of what’s happening. Neither works well without the other.
The Spreadsheet Nobody Talks About
Perhaps one of the most unaddressed elements of organizational life is the presence of shadow forecasting mechanisms.
Officially, there’s an organization’s forecast. Unofficially, there often exists a second forecast, which may exist in the form of an individual’s private spreadsheet, in an individual’s notebook, or through individual or team discussion.
It is likely, in some form, that this meeting has been heard in every organization where one exists.
The company forecast is presented.
The numbers look perfectly healthy.
Then inevitably someone pipes up, “OK, but what do we actually think?”
The line dividing the Official and Black markets is drawn with that phrase. The Official forecast might be the organization’s most formal assessment, but the Black Market forecast often represents a compilation of individual experience, customer issues, the news and anything else that doesn’t easily lend itself to tabulation.
It’s curious that shadow forecasts don’t necessarily always compete directly against official outputs. Indeed, they can arise as employees try to circumvent gaps they see in the official mechanisms. The fact of there being a spreadsheet doesn’t necessarily matter, since it is the quest for a depiction of reality that people believe in.
Tribal Knowledge and Unofficial Indicators
Arguably the hottest currency in the KPI Black Market is tribe experience. Most organizations have individuals who seem to be aware of certain things well before the rest of the population becomes aware of them. Those individuals understand which projects are real and which generate polished-looking status charts. They can usually predict the top truly unserved and unhappy customer base even before official complaints surface.
Such employees know which operational hazards warrant attention, even when they do not appear in risk analyses. What’s truly fascinating is that these fellows often don’t even have access to data; however, they have contextual gut feelings. By virtue of experience or informed hunches, they understand and see patterns that systems simply can’t capture.
These people remember what happened last time. They recall the anger, the shouts, the boasts, the merriment, or the frustration. They are living archives, in a sense. As such, organizations often defer significantly to individuals who cannot effectively translate the value of their insights into metrics, yet that value is very much there.
This then creates an interesting paradox.
On the one hand, companies may champion objectivity; on the other hand, in uncertain environments, they often turn to sources of experience who, by their nature, are not subject to objective measurement systems. Similar principles are evidenced in how folks make decisions in the informal universe on a day-to-day basis.
Managers observe how quickly answers are transmitted for questions and inquiries.
Account teams pick up on the customer’s emotional tone rather than on official customer satisfaction reports.
Product team leaders keep their eyes on the number of surprises.
Executive team members will note when the “unhappy camper” stops raising their objections.
These signals often aren’t included on charts but have a tremendous impact on decision-making, at times having a significantly greater impact than the official scores themselves.
Why the Black Market Exists
It may be tempting to see these informal arrangements as proof of the ultimate failure of formal measurement. This is a faulty assumption that relies on a complete misunderstanding of the very premise. The existence of the KPI Black Market signals that organizations are, ultimately, human systems operating in contexts far more complex than can ever be fully captured by numbers.
Dashboards cannot account for every variable. KPIs cannot enumerate every risk. Reports cannot portray trust, morale, judgment, intuition, confidence, or culture. When people and groups try to find order in increasingly chaotic surroundings, it is natural that they create complementary information systems – the KPI Black Market – that support and backstop formal systems. The KPI Black Market is thus not a conspiracy against data, but a very reasonable response to its ultimate shortcomings. It is a natural evolution of a most logical process.
Perhaps the most important irony is that most organizations already rely upon the inputs of this unrecorded channel: they simply do so informally and under the table.
The highest-trusted and most timely signals usually originate elsewhere – between peers, during hallway discussions, through personal observation, or based on embodied tacit knowledge. The KPI Black Market is more prevalent in complex environments where reality is perennially richer than our metrics, and, more generally, in organizations that have simply done too poor a job of creating formal indicators.
What Should Leaders Do About the KPI Black Market?
The existence of the KPI Black Market does not, of course, suggest that companies should discard their dashboards, scorecards, or formal reports. Au contraire!
Formal measurement is crucial if organizational performance is to be consistent and comparable, and if accountability is to be meaningful rather than arbitrary, and so much so that the Official Market is an essential part of organizational life.
The problem isn’t that organizations formally measure performance; it’s that they treat formal measurements as complete representations of reality rather than partial ones.
Great leaders recognize that the best dashboard or scorecard cannot do their thinking for them, but can help them think, and that, in addition to the question “What does this metric say?”, a second question needs to be asked.
“What’s missing from this metric?”
A necessary shift in focus leads to the treatment of signals and the observations of employees as information & value, not noise. The aim here isn’t the wholesale abandonment of measurement, but the supplementation of metrics by insight.
A similar approach can be found in the management literature, and the argument has long been made that formal management controls necessarily contain gaps that must be filled by managerial judgment, a concept of “informal justice”.
In essence, such judgments may allow us to question the validity of a metric because it has not kept pace with changing circumstances. Perhaps the easiest way in which to undertake a measure of diagnosis is for a team of leaders to take the time to ask management to list all of the things that management considers important, and then see what doesn’t appear on the board.
Final Thoughts
It is increasingly common to portray organizations as rational, analytical, almost-organic beings in which decisions are data-driven, and metrics are king.
To a certain extent, this is true. Most of them are, indeed, social entities – powered by the experience, intuition, confidence, and understanding coming from their members. Such a sentiment would be historically true as well, as it was the case well before dashboards existed – managers trusted their intuition and vision. Long before business intelligence platforms were born, people discussed and understood their environment to proceed forward, even when uncertainty loomed like an overcast sky.
Although our reporting tools now offer unprecedented visibility, this doesn’t deny the need for those implicit ways of leading teams to progress. Frankly speaking, they simply shouldn’t impede this.
It would be a naive mistake to assume all critical variables can be measured, as the key predictors of an organization’s success are sometimes elusive to quantification. These signals originate from talks, gut feelings, interactions, observations, and events, which never exactly translate onto a metric dashboard.
However, leading companies leverage both, sometimes in equal measure, and often to great success. A dashboard illustrates the past, while those close to the business can provide current-state insights and often foresight.
This is the key takeaway one should derive from the KPI Black Market. The real value is found where the most trustworthy predictors remain off the official dashboard.
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To the unknowing onlooker from the outside, modern organizations feel like they are running out of ideas. Products look alike, services deliver the same conveniences, features are often identical across tens of companies, and branding has become as diverse as the ocean, but as deep as a puddle.
The reality is that all of this is the result of too many ideas; so many that companies are often drowning in them.
Every quarter, there is another expansion opportunity, another platform integration, another market segment, another internal initiative, another feature request, another “strategic priority“. In theory, this should make organizations stronger. In practice, it is more likely to weaken organizations, dilute focus, foster strategic fatigue, increase operational complexity, and cause them to slowly lose clarity about what truly matters.
Most strategy conversations still center on addition:
What should we build?
What should we launch?
What market should we enter?
What initiative should we fund?
Few are the organizations that ask the more important questions: what should we deliberately stop doing?
This omission is becoming one of the defining strategic vulnerabilities of modern businesses.
The competitive challenge in the 21st century is no longer opportunity, since opportunity is everywhere. The challenge is filtration.
Organizations operate in environments of permanent optionality, where the number of potential initiatives significantly exceeds their true cognitive, operational, organizational, and managerial capacity. This alters the meaning of strategy and what it entails for the future.
In mature organizations, the competitive advantage will likely come not from doing more, but from doing less. Organizations that win are those that are the most rigorous about what they refuse to do.
The Expansion Trap
Growth cultures inherently reward expansion. Starting new things is visible: new projects signal ambition; new products signify innovation; new initiatives create momentum and political capital internally; and saying “yes” feels optimistic, energetic, passionate, vibrant, and futuristic.
Stopping things is felt as failure. It sends a shattering shudder down the shoulders of the entire C-suite and managerial corps, since organizations develop a structural bias towards accumulation.
Projects continue after their relevance to strategy has passed. Features remain because they are deemed too risky to eliminate. Teams inherit duties that are never reassessed. Legacy processes survive simply because they exist. Entire portfolios continue to expand without a mechanism to shrink them. Organizations become an accumulation of past decisions, a sort of operational museum.
This slow buildup rarely manifests immediately; instead, friction begins to emerge in various hidden forms, over time.
Decision-making becomes slow as too many priorities compete for attention.
Roadmaps become filled with exceptions and complexities.
Meetings multiply while strategic understanding dwindles.
Teams are spending increasing effort managing complexity rather than generating value.
Managers begin mistaking activity for progress.
The modern growth paradox is that business success brings more vulnerability to strategic diffusion. Complexity is compounding silently, while initial additions are small and manageable. After a while, interdependencies build up, communication costs begin to rise, coordination complexity increases, and priorities blur terribly.
Eventually, organizations reach a point where internal complexity management begins to cannibalize their ability to innovate. Organizations become busy everywhere and decisive nowhere.
The Hidden Cost of “More“
Most companies dramatically underestimate the true cost of an expansionary strategy by focusing only on direct costs, rather than cognitive and operational costs.
Rarely is the “cost” of a project defined by the amount of leadership attention it consumes. Seldom is a new initiative defined by the coordination burden it creates across organizational boundaries. Hardly ever is a market segment defined by how it distorts a company’s operational focus. Yet as economically efficient as modern businesses claim to be, they seem to forget entirely that organizational attention is a finite resource.
Each initiative competes for management time, decision-making resources, meeting time, engineering capacity, operational coordination, the organization’s emotional bandwidth, and strategic coherence.
Overload becomes a severe laceration, mentally, which then leads to the real danger: fragmentation.
When organizations attempt to do too many things at once, their strategic coherence begins to break down. At the grassroots and mid-level, teams no longer grasp the meaning of success and “work well done,” and employees lose sight of why they are working on a given task. In the meantime, leaders become unable to identify essential work from organizational momentum.
The result is an organizational phenomenon that many teams experience but rarely call “attention bankruptcy,” which occurs simply because there is not enough organizational focus to gain momentum.
Ironically, many organizations see this fragmentation as a signal that they need to do more. Performance flags so leadership launches another new program, another new reporting structure, another new task force, another new strategic theme.
Complexity becomes the solution for complexity.
The Real Strategy Thus Becomes Not Addition, but Exclusion
This is the most frequent misunderstanding about strategy within organizations.
Strategy is not a statement of intentions.
Strategy is not an aggregation of actions.
Strategy is not organizational maximalism.
Real strategy is subtraction.
Michael Porter famously asserted that the essence of strategy is what you choose NOT to do. It is a concept that is now even more critical given the environment of abundant optionality.
A choice of strategy is simultaneously the exclusion of alternatives.
The choice of one market necessitates the forgoing of another.
The decision of one customer segment means ignoring certain customers.
The commitment to one capability means saying no to another.
A choice for focus is a declaration against broadness.
Without these trade-offs, we revert to a strategy of competition convergence, in which organizations grow to look like everybody else by simultaneously pursuing every attractive option.
This is the most important reason why organizations seem very active but strategically anonymous. They are confusing motion with posture. However, an organization’s strategy that does not involve subtraction is merely expansion without focus.
The most successful organizations realize counter-intuitively that constraints can be a driver of focus:
The more an organization narrows its focus, the better its execution becomes.
The more an organization stops initiatives, the faster it delivers.
The more an organization simplifies its portfolio, the more it differentiates itself.
The more it protects its attention, the better the decisions it makes.
Being focused does not mean you lack ambition. It means you understand that catch-all is not the profile for your specific business.
The Psychology of Why Organizations Cannot Stop
If subtraction has the strategic benefits it does, why is it so difficult to implement? Well, every member of the organization feels psychological discomfort at stopping:
Leaders may appear uncertain or undecided.
Team members may have an emotional attachment to the initiatives they developed.
Executives have a psychological aversion to accounting for past sunk costs.
Organizations are accustomed to framing termination as failure rather than adaptation.
Several behavioural psychology theories explain the aversion:
A) Loss aversion describes an individual or organization’s tendency to prefer avoiding losses over realizing equivalent gains.
Therefore, organizations continue to pursue initiatives that have long been underperforming simply because abandonment feels like a worse outcome than continued risk-taking. Weak initiatives do not disappear because they feel more painful to kill than to continue funding them.
B) The sunk cost fallacy makes it difficult to assess initiatives in the future, given how much we have already invested in their past.
Organizations continue supporting a project not because its future returns are expected to exceed its costs, but because abandoning it would require accounting for past failures.
C) The endowment effect describes the bias of organizations overvaluing objects simply because they own them.
Projects will always have some level of emotional attachment, internalize an initiative’s product/service’s market success, deem a mediocre project to be “crucial,” label its legacy system a “mission-critical system” even if its purpose is tangential, or treat a temporary experiment as a permanent organizational burden.
Organizations will accumulate layers of strategic residue for which nobody will be accountable for removing. A dangerous asymmetry then forms: starting things is easy when you’re optimistic; finishing them is hard when you’re disciplined. Unfortunately, organizational behaviours amplify the easy part while suppressing the harder part.
Optionality Is the New Organizational Threat
For decades, business strategy has revolved around scarcity: a lack of markets, limited information, a dearth of access, and limited distribution.
Today, we are experiencing abundance: too many opportunities, too many technologies, too many directions, too many adjacent markets, too many partnerships, and too many initiatives.
Humorously enough, in the business world, we live in the age of optionality saturation where scarcity has been thoroughly vanquished.
Optionality leads to strategic paralysis. Without filters, organizations chase opportunities reactively rather than strategically. Organizations then start to believe that each opportunity is potentially transformative, a major threat/upside, and deserves immediate investment. An organization, however, tends to forget that it does not have unlimited attention. It gets blinded by the “new shiny,” by the constantly dangling carrot-on-the-stick, and soon it will run into a wall at full throttle.
Too much strategic expansion will inevitably lead to organizational fragmentation. Over time, it will become uncomfortable and slowly start to realize that it is not actually threatened externally, but internally.
Indeed, the single greatest threat to a mature organization may not be what others can do, but what the organization can’t stop doing internally.
The reason strategic subtraction stops being an operational change becomes a competitive advantage: organizations that excel at filtering can outmaneuver and outperform organizations that over-commit to doing too many things in a world saturated with options.
Organizations That Know How to Subtract
It’s one thing to be aware of the risks of optionality. It’s another thing entirely to build an organization that can resist it.
The truth is, most organizations don’t fail because of a lack of intelligence, cunning, shrewdness, or ambition. They fail under the weight of the accumulated complexity they never learned to subtract. Over time, every unchecked initiative, every added process, every “temporary” exception, every politically preserved project adds another layer of operational gravity.
The problem is then revealed to be less about insufficient strategic alignment and more about a lack of organizational subtraction capability. Once complexity infiltrates an organization, it begins to defend itself fervently and feverishly:
Projects gain internal champions
Processes turn into institutional habits
Legacy products acquire emotional protection
Customer accommodations become permanent obligations
Temporary workarounds become operational doctrine
It is for this reason that subtraction cannot be left to occasional leadership willpower or annual reorganization efforts. It must be built into the organization’s infrastructure if it wants to maintain focus, since the best performing organizations do not just innovate – they subtract.
Portfolio Pruning as a Strategic Discipline
The most potent signal of strategic maturity is subtraction. In a growing organization, subtraction is difficult to justify, since expansion feels as though it enables an ever-growing list of possible ventures. However, resources never grow nearly as quickly as complexity does.
A time comes when the organization faces a stark choice: actively subtract or allow complexity to subtract for them. High-performing organizations must proactively review which projects no longer support strategic imperatives, which products create more complexity than value, which customers require deviations from core strategy, which meetings serve to coordinate rather than decide, and which initiatives persist purely through inertia.
It’s important to understand that this is not about cutting costs or reducing the organization’s size. It is about strategic filtration and the ability to clarify its focus. Eliminating even one distraction can create disproportionate capacity.
For instance, getting rid of a poorly performing product may allow engineering to focus on core offerings, simplify messaging, improve the customer experience, and reduce leadership attention. As complexity compounds, so does the benefit of its removal. This is why highly mature organizations often narrow their focus as they scale, and while the conventional wisdom is the opposite, the truest sophistication lies in knowing where to point the organization rather than merely broadening its aperture.
The “Anti-Goal”: Defining what you are Not
Most organizations are designed around what they will pursue (goals). Few organizations define what they will not pursue (anti-goals); yet, in the age of hyper-optionality, anti-goals may be one of the most valuable strategic tools organizations have to avoid being overwhelmed by their potential to do anything and everything.
Goals establish a direction – anti-goals establish a guardrail. They create bounds that an organization will actively refuse to cross, even as it scales. That boundary could be related to customer segments (which they won’t serve), the complexity they won’t allow, the operating model they won’t adopt, the revenue streams they will avoid if they pull focus, the growth pathways they won’t pursue if they threaten core coherence.
Anti-goals are not rigid. They are strategic self-preservation tools & techniques. Organizations that don’t define anti-goals can find themselves gradually absorbing seemingly individually sensible opportunities until the business model is something the organization never intentionally designed. Anti-goals, therefore, create the defensiveness that comes with clear boundaries.
In layman’s terms, anti-goals protect identity.
Protecting Your Focus as a Competitive Resource
One of the most counterintuitive aspects of organizational performance is that attention functions just like capital. It is a finite, allocable resource that, once diluted, rapidly loses its value, and most organizations are utterly reckless in how they manage it.
We allow meetings to expand unchecked, communication channels to multiply ad infinitum, and projects to contend equally for the eyes of executives. Our teams get free rein to context-switch between incompatible goals, our leaders to append new programs to already saturated systems, and eventually, to create a culture where no one can sustain deep strategic focus long enough to achieve breakthrough results.
So, now, what used to be a mundane aspect – organizational attention – has now become a defining competitive advantage of modern business. Companies compete on capital, technology, or people, yes, but nowadays, they also compete on clarity.
The ability for an organization to focus its collective attention span on a few core initiatives has become exceedingly rare, and that rarity creates a stark competitive advantage. That is also why simplification is increasingly becoming a strategic choice: it encapsulates both aesthetics and operational concentration.
By removing non-essential complexity, organizations increase decision velocity, improve the quality of their communication, enhance their execution, and increase their accountability. Beyond that, it restores organizational strategic visibility and allows organizations to distinguish between signal and noise again.
The Leadership Disciplines of “No, Not Now“
Most leaders misconstrue the notion of strategic restraint as negativity. Strategic refusal, however, is among the highest and noblest acts of organizational stewardship.
Every “yes” to one new activity implies saying “no” to something else. Every new program is essentially taking from Peter to pay Paul. Disciplined leaders internalize this exchange, as they are aware that the best strategy is not mindlessly doing the greatest number of things; it is about doing the most appropriate number of things with coherence and cohesiveness.
Strategic refusal doesn’t have to be about absolute rejection, though. Very often, the appropriate response to a promising opportunity is “No, not now.” Discipline around timing and learning to “leave things for later” is crucial since even valuable initiatives can become disruptive when undertaken simultaneously or prematurely.
This then leaves us with a distinction of paramount importance: while some organizations fail because they select poor initiatives, many actually fail because they undertake too many appropriate initiatives simultaneously.
Poor prioritization may look like aggression from within, with organizations convincing themselves that parallel growth demonstrates agility and initiative. However, it actually results in weak execution across the board. Strategic timing promotes sequentiality, sequence protects focus, and focus ensures quality execution. Organizational ambition degenerates into fragmentation without sequencing.
Why Subtraction is Terrifying, But Produces Speed
Subtraction, in contrast, carries a natural psychological burden. Adding new activities creates psychological safety, and adding projects breeds a sense of momentum, security, and a feeling of adaptability and dynamic evolution.
Subtraction strips away these comforts unceremoniously. It demands that leaders make a commitment, removing fallback justifications and exposing strategic bets more clearly. It calls upon us to endure a degree of immediate discomfort for a larger strategic gain, but that discomfort is precisely why subtraction will prove to be an advantage.
Organizations are often unable to endure the psychological discomfort of exclusion. They hedge their bets and make too many too soon, diluting rather than differentiating. Companies that excel at subtraction are the opposite. They relentlessly simplify, ruthlessly eliminate, deliberately protect attention, and intentionally make the painful choice of reducing initiatives. They realize that real speed doesn’t come from acceleration but from eliminating friction. That is the underlying brilliance of organizational subtraction: as soon as distractions are removed, momentum becomes exponential.
Final Thoughts
Business culture continues to venerate the act of adding: new initiatives are rewarded, growth reports make the headlines, complexity is equated with sophistication, and a portly portfolio is seen as a hallmark of success.
However, beneath the surface, more and more organizations are coming to understand that they are drowning from abundance: too many priorities, too many systems, too many initiatives, too many competing desires demanding the time and energy of their people.
Strategic subtraction will likely become one of the next great leadership disciplines because organizations that can refuse to do the many seemingly “right” things and instead embrace doing the one thing will achieve a level of clarity, focus, alignment, and speed that will eclipse those that cling to expansion at the expense of execution.
The future belongs to organizations that have mastery over their attention and will have the courage and discipline to protect that most sacred resource above all else.
Many companies end up in a failure state because people believe it is due to poorly formulated strategies, when in fact many already possess decent-to-good strategies, yet fail to move the needle beyond the predispositions, processes, and priorities that served their past incarnation.
For example, a company may shift its strategic focus, but its KPIs reward old behaviour; its leaders declare transformation, but its middle managers still receive rewards based on old targets; it adopts new technologies while utilizing processes established for non-existent markets.
These contradictions slowly and imperceptibly build up over time, forming a phenomenon known as strategy debt.
In many ways, it is the equivalent of technical debt in software: the price organizations pay for the impact of previous, now-obsolete strategic decisions, inherited assumptions, legacy priorities, and previously resolved choices that continue to exert influence on their present state.
However, unlike the clearly identifiable problems in operations, strategy debt can lie hidden for many years. It may even happen that a business might encounter strange misgivings when implementing its new strategy because the old one simply never left the room.
As markets evolve and accelerate, strategy debt has emerged as one of the most significant and unrecognized hurdles to progress and execution. While businesses are unlikely to fall at a single catastrophic misstep, many suffer over time as their ability to adapt declines, even while they continue to optimize for the realities of the past.
Think of it like a car that slowly accrues one too many fittings & components that grind against each other. Just one won’t cause a crash; one hundred, however, start to become a significant livelihood problem. This is eerily similar for businesses, too!
This reality can be unsettlingly mundane: the staff are so accustomed to the competing priorities, overlapping processes, interminable alignment meetings, and initiatives no one seems to question anymore that it feels completely normal within the business.
The business still moves; it just moves slowly, weighed down by sluggish decision-making and languid initiatives, to the point where its very livelihood is endangered.
This introduces decision debt.
Every strategic decision is associated with assumptions made when it was initiated. As markets speed up, this timeframe shortens and assumptions quickly become obsolete, continuing to impact new realities in unintended ways unless reconsidered.
This results not in immediate collapse but incremental strategic dragging, and by the time the organization recognizes the issue, the debt has already compounded tenfold.
How Organizations Build Strategy Debt Over Time
Organizations do not normally set out to build strategy debt; quite the opposite, in many cases. Companies often attempt to foster stability and predictability by adhering to established procedures and objectives.
Traditional business strategy was once based on stable conditions. 5-year plans, annual forecasts, hierarchical structures, and fixed performance systems seemed logical in periods when market shifts were predictable and gradual.
Now, the business environment is drastically different.
Consumer behaviour changes rapidly, technologies can reshape entire industries overnight, competitive advantages erode at unprecedented speed, pivots can introduce completely new competitors where there were few before, yet many businesses still operate under strategies built for a more gradual, incremental landscape.
This marks the first noticeable layer of strategy debt: outdated assumptions and conditions become permanently embedded in an organization’s structure.
A KPI implemented three years prior, for instance, might still dictate behaviour today, despite significant shifts in the company’s business model. Similarly, a customer profile crafted earlier in development may continue to inform research, product iteration, sales, and marketing efforts, even though it no longer reflects the ideal target audience.
These inherited strategic choices gradually become ingrained in an organization’s DNA, amplifying decision debt.
Decision debt is the accumulation of past choices whose context is no longer relevant. The decisions themselves may have been sound at the time, but the organizational process for evaluating or challenging them has not evolved, leaving them in place beyond their useful lifecycle.
This can explain why some organizations appear highly dynamic and engaged yet produce minimal tangible progress. They are not failing to execute the strategy; however, the strategy they are executing may be obsolete.
The irony is that, more often than not, a company’s success makes it particularly susceptible to strategy debt. When a strategy is proven to be effective, companies naturally build systems around it: processes are optimized and standardized, key metrics are deeply ingrained, silos are segmented as expected, and entire departments are built to replicate success.
The more successful a company has been historically, the harder it is to challenge its underlying assumptions, particularly when it tries to transform. The barrier is not just implementing a new strategy; it is dismantling the influence of the old one, which is a far more difficult challenge.
The Silent Costs of Strategy Debt
One of the biggest misconceptions about strategy debt is that it’s limited to long-term, strategic discussions.
In reality, it can quickly become an operational problem: employees feel overwhelmed by competing priorities; managers can’t translate strategic intent into concrete actions; departments are unknowingly at cross-purposes while pursuing the same goals.
The organization is busy, but progress is slow, and strategy debt creates friction across the business.
1) One common symptom is initiative overload.
Companies accumulate more and more projects, frameworks, priorities, and transformation programs without retiring old ones. In other words, new strategic directions are piled on top of existing ones instead of replacing them. Employees are forced to build tomorrow’s company while also keeping yesterday’s business alive.
The result is a chronic strategic gridlock that functions in an unbalanced state.
2) A second symptom is decision paralysis.
When assumptions are no longer retired, organizations find themselves constantly complicating decision-making.
Employees spend a great deal of time seeking consensus on strategy because each department operates on a different strategic foundation. Sales might focus on revenue growth, product teams on retention, operations on efficiency, and leadership on innovation. Nothing here is wrong per se, at face value.
However, we now run into the problem that the organization has never explicitly identified which goals are most important in today’s environment and which are not.
As a result, we sit in a state of simulated agreement.
Middle managers feel this pressure the most. They are caught between dynamic leadership expectations and immobile operational systems tied to outdated strategies, and it’s often their job to deliver organizational change while maintaining expectations built on old strategies. The cumulative result is employee burnout.
Now, to be clear, this doesn’t happen because employees don’t want to change, but because they’re trying to balance many competing strategic identities.
3) A third symptom is quite an insidious problem: reinvention work.
We find ourselves rebuilding old processes, decisions, initiatives, methodologies, techniques, and systems because the original intent isn’t well-documented. Employees leave, institutional memory fades, procedures become bogged down in a muck of paperwork, and the organization is forced to play archeologist to recall why this system exists in the first place.
A surprisingly significant part of operational inefficiency comes from this.
Meetings take longer; action plans now sprawl over several months instead of weeks; decision-making requires more scrutiny; teams avoid risky actions because the underlying strategy is unclear.
Now the organization loses another critical factor: decision velocity, and in today’s markets, slow adaptation is more dangerous than an imperfect decision. A flawed decision can be recovered with agility; an organization slowed by accumulated strategy debt can’t.
Warning Signs Of An Organization Optimized For Yesterday’s Market
Strategy debt usually doesn’t reveal itself through dramatic pronouncements; instead, it’s a subtle process that becomes normal over time.
A) A clear indicator is repeated strategic discussions that don’t result in definitive decisions.
Leadership meetings are consistently stuck with the same questions and topics each quarter. Discussions don’t lead to clarity; they just keep going because the organization is stuck between its past assumptions and current realities.
B) “Zombie projects” are another warning sign.
These are projects that aren’t truly abandoned, nor are they properly completed; what’s more, they seldom truly become formally canceled. They linger in organizational consciousness and continue to drain time and resources because no one wants to be the one to finally pull the plug finally.
Companies with heavy strategy debt almost invariably suffer from an abundance of such projects.
C) Strategic language bloat becomes commonplace.
As strategy becomes less concrete, words like “digital transformation“, “customer-centricity,” and “innovation acceleration” become ubiquitous while being progressively less aligned with real work.
The more vague the actual strategy becomes, the more words people use to fake alignment. Employees are usually aware of this long before management.
D) A heavy reliance on historical best practices is yet another indicator.
The organization insists on evaluating new business opportunities against the conditions that applied in the past. Leaders still measure new opportunities against the same customer profiles and old assumptions that were effective in the past.
Rather than adapting its strategy to the market, the organization unconsciously tries to fit the market into its strategy. This is often where growth grinds to a halt.
E) Cultural implications also apply to strategy debt.
Risk-averse cultures often persist despite the organization’s claims to foster innovation. Employees become hesitant to challenge old processes because they are directly linked to historical success. “It’s always been done this way” becomes more than a bad habit. It becomes an instinct for self-preservation.
This can happen within companies that still claim to be agile and adaptive. The organization outwardly embodies the concept of change but structurally resembles stagnation.
F) A truly dangerous portent is when the strategy planning process itself becomes a performance.
Employees attend workshops without any real expectation of meaningful change. Strategy is observed as a ritual rather than enacted as a plan.
At that stage, strategy debt is no longer just a drain on execution. It is an erosion of trust, and once employees no longer believe that strategic change is possible, the organization’s ability to adapt will collapse from within.
How Organizations Can Cut Down Strategy Debt Before It Strangles Growth
This doesn’t mean organizations should stop thinking about the long term.
The company still needs direction, priorities, planning, and strategic intent. However, modern strategy demands an approach different from the rigid strategic planning models most organizations have inherited from a bygone era. The best-run organizations treat strategy as an iterative concept rather than a perpetual one.
Instead of presuming the original strategy will hold true in the long term, they establish mechanisms to continually reassess assumptions and update priorities as the business environment evolves. In other words, they actively manage down strategy debt.
One method is to conduct regular “strategy debt audits“.
I) The purpose is to examine all the major strategic decisions taken in the previous twelve to twenty-four months and pose one seemingly obvious question: “If I were taking this decision today, would I still do so?“
Few organizations take time to re-examine old decisions, unless an immediate crisis necessitates their review. This is a mistake that many managers simply glide over.
II) Another essential aspect is the segregation of actual strategy and inherited inertia.
Companies must identify which activities, reports, KPIs, and operational models continue to support current objectives, rather than those that persist because no one ever bothered to examine them. This, however, demands knowledgeable & charismatic leadership.
Letting go of past objectives can be difficult because organizations tend to imbue past strategies with emotional significance (especially if they were once effective). It makes sense – organizations are made of people, and people are emotional beings first and foremost who look to latch onto security reasons before speculative efforts.
However, failing to replace outdated systems generally incurs higher future costs.
III) Organizations should also normalize “kill lists” for strategies.
Just as businesses create roadmaps for launching new ventures, they should create specific lists of priorities that they will actively stop pursuing. Strategic subtraction can be as important as strategic addition.
IV) Preserving context is another crucial improvement.
Most organizations simply don’t document decisions sufficiently. They record outputs, not insights. Their successors end up inheriting conclusions without understanding how they were reached.
Understanding why a decision was made can often be more important than understanding what the decision was. After all, circumstances will eventually change, and organizations must retain the ability to challenge past logic rather than mindlessly follow past decisions.
V) Finally, organizations must embrace adaptive strategy execution.
The most resilient businesses today are not those that perfectly predicted the distant future. They are those who can adjust rapidly without causing organizational confusion. This means creating operational and mental flexibility.
Modern strategy is less about rigidly defined plans and more about building organizations that learn constantly. After all, the biggest strategic risk in today’s environment is not making the wrong decision; it is optimizing for decisions that have long since become ineffective.
Final Thoughts
The biggest danger of strategy debt is that it is usually not created by error.
The majority of strategy debt originates from perfectly logical, even effective and successful, decisions made in the past. That is what makes them dangerous. Companies tend to become emotionally attached to the strategies that made them succeed.
However, business markets change far more quickly than organizational inertia. In time, past strengths will inevitably turn into present weaknesses.
The most adaptive companies will not be those that were the most foresightful; they will be the companies most willing to challenge outdated assumptions and priorities, and to re-evaluate decisions when they no longer serve the purpose.
This requires a shift in the company culture. It involves a transition away from a fixed, immutable conception of strategy towards a more fluid, iterative learning process. It requires acknowledging that every strategy decision has a life span. Some expire rapidly; others last much longer. None should be permanently exempted from reassessment. After all, strategy debt compounds silently.
Initially, this appears as minor operational disruptions, shifting priorities, or a decline in velocity. Ultimately, it can evolve into a more pervasive issue, one in which the company can no longer adapt as quickly as its environment demands.
In today’s environment, the ability to adapt is not just a strategy; it is strategy itself.
Bridging the gap between strategy and execution requires more than intent—it requires the right frameworks and capabilities. Enroll in the Certified Strategy and Business Planning Professional and Practitioner program by The KPI Institute to learn how to align strategy, planning, and performance for meaningful organizational results.
Most organizations love the idea that strategy happens at the top: executives develop it, and employees on the ground execute it. Things somewhere in the middle just work. We wave our hands, and like magic, processes fall into place.
Well, that’s not exactly true. Somewhere in the middle is exactly where most strategies succeed or fail.
Across all industries and studies, one pattern rears its head again and again: well-designed strategy rarely translates into actual output. It isn’t so much that the vision is wrong, per se; it is simply a matter of losing it along the way, of it being diluted or misunderstood.
That gap between intent and output lies where middle managers work. Enabling or neglecting them often dictates whether change will take hold or fade under its own weight.
In this article, we delve into this critical role by drawing on diverse views on change management, strategy execution, and leadership behaviours. Each section looks at this issue from a different angle; all reflect the same truth: middle managers aren’t merely intermediaries-they are the mechanism by which strategy takes shape in organizations.
The Strategic Translation Layer: How Middle Managers Turn Vision into Action
While an organization’s strategy defines what it wishes to achieve, it is middle managers who help transform that vision into something understandable and executable.
They occupy a unique position in organizations: positioned above are executives focused on strategy and priority-setting; below them, employees face the challenges of day-to-day operations. It is this dual orientation that grants them the detail executives often lack: context.
They are attuned to what leadership wants and what employees can realistically achieve.
Their ability to both translate strategy into executable plans and adjust plans to the realities of the work lies in their interpretation and adaptation of information from above and below. It is quite akin to alchemical transformation.
Studies and research consistently cite the translation role as critical. Employees’ understanding and belief in strategy correlates with performance gains, whether measured by revenue, engagement, job satisfaction, or customer experience. However, almost every time, without fail, understanding tends to stem not from the top but from above.
The irony is that strategy often never reaches the middle clearly. Managers often say they are not entirely confident in communicating strategy because they don’t fully understand it themselves. This deficit can ripple outward; the entire organization becomes unclear when the middle is unclear.
In sum, strategy fails not at the design stage, but at the translation stage, and this translation layer usually resides with middle managers.
From Resistance to Alignment: How Change Spreads Organically Inside Organizations
Despite having a strategy at the top, people will rarely fall in line spontaneously. Change within organizations is not a rational, top-down endeavor; rather, it is inherently social and emotional.
Initially, there is likely a division among middle managers. Some champion the new strategy, others defend established procedures. Each response is a common feature of this stage. However, with time, a subtle change occurs.
Initially reluctant middle managers may come to realize that even deeply cherished practices and systems will not persist in their current form without adaptation; innovation may actually be the means of preservation. As this occurs at the individual level, influence begins to be driven by credibility rather than by authority alone.
When a well-respected middle manager adopts a new perspective, it serves as an influential model, drawing followers and shaping the organization’s discourse around the strategy. The transformation begins to gain organic momentum, spreading not through directives, but through personal relationships and evolving consensus.
Eventually, the organization may realize that innovation and tradition are not necessarily antithetical and that alignment can provide the foundation for bridging them.
Organizational change is an emergent phenomenon rather than an announced decision. It evolves in the middle layers of leadership. As a result, organizational change rarely occurs rapidly; however, it is usually the long, slow process within middle management that results in the enduring transformation of an organization’s overall culture.
Why Strategy Fails: The Under-Discussed Problem of Alignment
Executives tend to view strategy execution as a technical problem – a matter of disciplined execution. In reality, it is almost always an alignment issue.
A) Vast studies have consistently shown that many of a strategy’s failed initiatives were not based on flawed ideas but on an inability to ensure consistent implementation. The literature frequently reports strategy implementation failure rates ranging from 50% to 90%, although these estimates are debated and vary across pieces of research.
This metric doesn’t reflect intellect or diligence; it reflects a breakdown in alignment and clarity.
Often, leaders see the strategy as transparent, while employees, and particularly middle managers, experience it as ambiguous or fragmented. This disconnect, a wide chasm between top-level confidence and the reality below, renders the strategy powerless. Instead of directing action, it becomes abstract material in presentation slides.
B) Another factor leading to failure is prioritization: where strategy is unclear, every initiative appears vital. Where all initiatives are vital, no single effort receives the attention it deserves.
It is middle managers who, day in and day out, must navigate this contradiction; they are the individuals making real-time choices about where effort and resources will be directed. They don’t merely execute strategy, but adapt and interpret it.
Indeed, alignment matters far more than planning. No strategy, however ingenious, can survive long-term failure to align the organization. Strategy fails not because of popular opposition, but because of differential experience with it across different parts of an organization.
The Reality of the Middle Manager’s Role: Pressure, Ambiguity, and Overload
It’s a lot more comfortable to use words like “bridge” to describe middle managers than to be comfortable with what this feels like.
Middle managers operate in two directions at once:
They are recipients of directives on strategy, mandates for transformation, and performance targets.
They are also simultaneously dealing with team members’ issues, capacity constraints, execution realities, and their own team’s morale.
That combination creates a structural tension that is difficult to resolve.
A primary factor in this challenge is role ambiguity. How much autonomy middle managers actually possess often becomes unclear.
Are they strictly implementation-focused, or is the implementation adaptable to the reality of the work? How accountable should middle managers be for things beyond their direct control?
Lack of clarity about how much discretion they have inevitably leads to overload. Without clear boundaries, it becomes impossible for middle managers to distinguish between urgent and important, leading to more reactive rather than strategic prioritization of activities.
The capability gap is another widely overlooked issue. Moving from operational leader to translator of strategy requires a fundamentally different skill set. This mental shift is rarely formally part of a middle manager’s promotion and development plan. Middle managers are frequently promoted based on their ability to execute and are expected to become capable strategic communicators and leaders of change immediately.
The result is the expected: stress, fatigue, strain, burnout, and disengagement.
It does not just affect individual middle managers. Lower productivity, scattered priorities, increased staff turnover, and a weaker alignment between middle management and the overall strategy are all byproducts of middle manager overload within an organization.
In other words, the pressure on the middle layer is a systemic challenge, not just for individual managers.
Making Strategy Work: Enabling Middle Managers
Given the importance of the middle manager layer, the question arises: why do organizations underinvest in it?
In most cases, the answer is a combination of inertia and an overemphasis on strategy design, with a laissez-faire approach to execution, assuming it will happen automatically.
However, nothing could be further from the truth.
The most effective method to improve strategy execution isn’t more strategy – it’s stronger enablement for those who translate it into reality.
1) The first crucial step is clarity of role and expectations.
Managers need to understand precisely what will be asked of them, which decisions they own, which must be escalated, and what successful execution looks like in practical terms.
Uncertainty and ambiguity lead to either constant over-escalation or boundary overstepping.
2) Second, capabilities must be developed.
Strategic execution requires much more than the ability to complete tasks. It relies on strong coaching and change management skills, so investment in development in these areas cannot remain just a nice-to-have option if consistent execution is the objective. It is mandatory, if one cares for the success of their business, that is.
3) Third, leadership alignment is critical.
If, on the one hand, middle managers are viewed as merely messengers, they cannot provide valuable feedback to those who designed the strategy, and their engagement in the process will be low.
If, on the other hand, they are valued for the insights they can provide on the ground, they will provide valuable input to the strategic planning process.
4) Fourth, the organization needs feedback loops that work in both directions.
Managers need to effectively communicate execution challenges upwards, while leadership needs to clearly articulate the strategic rationale downwards.
Without an effective two-way feedback structure, a series of distortions emerges, leading each successive level to hear a modified version of the intended strategy.
5) Finally, rewards are important.
Organizations signal to their employees what is valued by reinforcing both operational execution and transformation. Recognition for change leadership rather than just task completion ensures that the challenging work of strategy implementation is integrated into everyday performance.
With these conditions, middle managers transform from overburdened intermediaries into powerful drivers of organizational direction.
Final Thoughts
When reviewing the research and evidence, one theme consistently emerges: the middle management layer is not an auxiliary level in the organization but rather the engine through which strategy actually takes effect.
Middle managers take high-level direction and transform it into tangible actions, process ambiguity into decisions, resist resistance, and disseminate understanding throughout the organization through relationships rather than purely by authority.
Strategy becomes stuck when this layer is not supported. When enabled properly and with a clear understanding, strategy advances with great celerity.
Most successful organizations prioritize investing in the enablement of their middle managers-the people who bring their strategy to life every day-rather than focusing solely on better strategic design.
This is because, in the final analysis, at the end of it all, strategy failure does not occur in the boardroom but in the middle.
Bridging the gap between strategy and execution requires more than intent—it requires the right frameworks and capabilities. Enroll in the Certified Strategy and Business Planning Professional and Practitioner program by The KPI Institute to learn how to align strategy, planning, and performance for meaningful organizational results.
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